White Swan 2025 Least Likely Yet Plausible
A “white swan” event is the opposite of a “black swan”: it’s a highly positive and somewhat predictable event with potentially transformative consequences. In 2025, one of the least likely, yet still theoretically possible, white swan events could be a globally coordinated initiative on climate action and technology sharing that leads to a rapid decarbonization of the world economy. Based on current sentiments, international cooperation on climate and technology sharing is expected to remain slow, hindered by political, economic, and logistical challenges. But if countries and corporations were to unite decisively and transparently, this could ignite a profound positive shift with immense environmental, economic, and social impacts.